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Since I got familiar with him as the National Secretary of Alliance for Democracy in 1998 till date, his political trend analysis, as far as I know, has always been off tangent with his predicted outcomes. It has always been so because he is always too absorbed with his views and never dispassionate.
I remember, in 2014, how he was moving from one television and radio station to the other dismissing APC as a non-starter in the weeks and months leading to the elections in 2015. He would not spare any adjective to describe political and economic views that do not align with his own political interests.
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